Candid-Dragonfruit
0x58d0323d6e294b60b3b5125a36216a4bf4f6b7e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.06
Total PnL
$-638.35
Realised
$-6.27
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- STEVE GARCIA
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- JUSTIN GAETHJE
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 12PM ET
718 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?
272 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-145.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
266 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
235 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$1.64Jun 12, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$1.64Jun 12, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.18Jun 12, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?$1.02Jun 12, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?$2.20Jun 12, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.45Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$1.01Jun 11, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 11, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$1.01Jun 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 11, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.01Jun 11, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$1.04Jun 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.03Jun 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$1.03Jun 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$1.02Jun 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Giga Chikadze vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Prelims)$1.01Jun 10, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1.01Jun 10, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jun 10, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win on 2026-06-07?$2.70Jun 8, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8?$1.02Jun 7, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.