Knowledgeable-Fennel
0x58d990254a0cace64a1581499f78ee6f6d238590
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 6?
1350 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?
1049 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 5?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 17?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 7?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?
255 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- BENGALS
Bengals vs. Packers
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?$95.09Jun 18, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8?$95.01Jun 8, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 3?$95.10Jun 8, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 3?$95.01Jun 2, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$95.09Jun 2, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$95.01May 23, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$95.10May 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$95.01May 19, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$95.09May 19, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$95.00May 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$1.50May 13, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$96.10May 13, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?$96.01May 7, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$96.10May 7, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$96.00May 5, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?$96.09May 5, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?$96.00Apr 27, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?$1.10Apr 27, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?$97.09Apr 27, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?$97.00Apr 24, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $82.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.