Humble-Effort
0x58e621fdab7eac45731cd5853bec84dfd7781179
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.02
Total PnL
$-0.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 22?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.02
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 22?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 22?$3.00May 22, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 22?$2.00Apr 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?$338.24Mar 25, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?$512.30Mar 25, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?$850.54Mar 25, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$109.78Mar 25, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$738.52Mar 25, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by March 31, 2026?$848.30Mar 25, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$830.45Mar 25, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$830.45Mar 25, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$255.23Mar 25, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$598.20Mar 25, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$853.43Mar 25, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$847.45Mar 25, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$848.30Mar 25, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Mar 25, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Sourdif win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$139.86Mar 25, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Sourdif win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$718.28Mar 25, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Sourdif win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$858.14Mar 25, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$112.47Mar 25, 01:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $524.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 06:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.