Far-Loading
0x58e6596dc20c6d4cde21eb4abdc096cfafaed075
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$62.94
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5783 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-307.20
- NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils
2027 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-139.84
- CAVALIERS
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
2000 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-327.81
- NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes
1750 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-616.61
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
1684 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-375.46
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
1634 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-98.03
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
1595 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-510.44
- SPURS
Thunder vs. Spurs
1167 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-220.56
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
970 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Nuggets
880 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-227.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$5.04Jun 15, 09:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$2.50Jun 11, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$2.02Jun 11, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$4.11Jun 11, 06:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$52.71Jun 6, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$5.08Jun 3, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$5.08Jun 3, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.10Jun 3, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.26Jun 2, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $28.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 23:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.