Capital-Burn-Efficiency
0x58ed48dadba82d96701153457be99c703935bcb5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "China" this week?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- NO
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.33
$-0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" this week?$2.01May 16, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?$1.01May 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$1.03May 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week?$1.01May 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$1.02May 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$1.00May 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 16, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$1.01May 16, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$1.02May 16, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00May 16, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".