Negligible-Mode
0x58f1b91487e92cf65d2843097196212d22d20211
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$333.32
Total PnL
$-521.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
925 shares @ 17.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$245.05
$88.19
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20864 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$52.16
$-557.79
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10319 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$36.12
$-34.88
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
260 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$162.07Jun 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.23Jun 9, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.34Jun 9, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$79.92May 23, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$6.66May 18, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$19.50May 18, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$56.41May 18, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$79.97May 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$103.86May 13, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$108.45May 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.79May 11, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$38.63May 6, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.05May 1, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$62.59May 1, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$41.57Apr 29, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$16.63Apr 29, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$15.00Apr 2, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.00Feb 26, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$200.00Feb 26, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$281.59Feb 26, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $70.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 19:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 21:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.