Kosher-Stance
0x58f4d3b7dc4ed3bba763c620264b987cc75812a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.2K
Realised
$296.91
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
116830 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.3K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
19794 shares @ 73.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.6K
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
19347 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-390.29
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 200 and 219 times September 5–12?
5438 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-9.91
- NO
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?
5180 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-623.93
- NO
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
5015 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-680.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
3000 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-205.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 19, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.