Alarming-Twins
0x58f7e51d60743528da31c839a715ae55fb6d8e4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$119.45
Total PnL
$-49.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
96 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 91.8¢·now 90.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.68
$-0.32
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
105 shares @ 38.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.11
$-27.89
- NO
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?
11 shares @ 89.7¢·now 90.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$9.00
$-1.00
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.91
$1.91
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.13
$0.13
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$5.17Jun 2, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$10.06Jun 2, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?$10.04Jun 2, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?$10.04Jun 2, 15:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$32.61May 31, 23:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.61May 27, 08:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.15May 25, 14:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $10.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".