Idolized-Fiddle
0x593a7e08c6c91e02b66fa234bb29adce2ed92d82
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.43
Total PnL
$-66.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
9 shares @ 53.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.43
$-4.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET
262 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11AM ET
31 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
13 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$0.94May 29, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.35May 29, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 28, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$4.95May 28, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$5.10May 28, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.02May 20, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.18May 19, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.01May 18, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00May 18, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$2.08May 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.72May 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$2.55May 13, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$2.38May 12, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.00May 10, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.61May 10, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.98May 10, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.03May 10, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 11?$1.04May 10, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$2.04May 7, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$7.69May 5, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.