Harmful-Correspondence
0x59442b411fe8487bcc28d56f2b4caf9c9254e383
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.75
Total PnL
$-43.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
14 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.89
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
13 shares @ 95.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-12.59
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?
3 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hungary win on 2025-11-16?$1.45Nov 16, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hungary win on 2025-11-13?$1.19Nov 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2025-11-13?$1.00Nov 13, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hungary win on 2025-11-13?$1.00Nov 13, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.25Nov 10, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Nov 10, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?$1.22Nov 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?$1.00Nov 9, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Nov 8, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.37Nov 8, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Nov 8, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.10Nov 8, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Nov 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.32Nov 8, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.85Nov 8, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$0.93Nov 8, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Nov 8, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?$1.00Nov 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-08?$1.00Nov 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$1.00Nov 7, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 14:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.