Unknown-Pathway
0x5947822093f310c0803576fd70d64755e894c7dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-25.5K
Realised
$-569.78
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
1356 shares @ 62.2¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.0K
$159.33
- NO
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
700 shares @ 80.4¢·now 83.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$582.05
$19.25
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
900 shares @ 57.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$562.50
$49.50
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
419 shares @ 95.5¢·now 98.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$410.97
$10.97
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
400 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$384.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
400 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$368.00
$8.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
386 shares @ 71.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$287.57
$11.51
- YES
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
200 shares @ 97.2¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$190.20
$-4.20
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$160.90
$-1.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.94Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$141.93Jul 21, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$509.35Jul 21, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$22.01Jul 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$22.01Jul 21, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$22.01Jul 21, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$22.01Jul 21, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$145.61Jul 21, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$22.01Jul 21, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$387.31Jul 21, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$22.01Jul 21, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$53.87Jul 21, 07:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.19Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$5.13Jul 21, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$46.71Jul 21, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$27.00Jul 21, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$2.25Jul 20, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$27.00Jul 20, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$46.71Jul 20, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$205.20Jul 20, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $116.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 09:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.