Smart-Lake
0x5950e4d56980d0f0b2be90c4ef84adb3d8ff60c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$64.97
Total PnL
$-4.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.03
$11.03
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.83
$0.83
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.92
$-1.08
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.80
$-3.20
- YES
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$3.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.68
$-3.32
- YES
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$1.46
$0.48
- NO
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
35 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$10.36May 16, 14:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$58.01May 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.22May 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.23May 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.23May 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.23May 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$6.08May 12, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$3.10May 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.20May 10, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.39May 10, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$3.11May 9, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$13.33May 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$5.33May 1, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 30, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$0.06Apr 30, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$0.06Apr 30, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$0.05Apr 30, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$0.00Apr 30, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1.50Apr 30, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00Apr 30, 05:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".