Earnest-Lymphocyte
0x5982e20cddeef1813ee0f09e66509668f9a8769a
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$542.94
Total PnL
$-0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
469 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$454.59
$220.14
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
469 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.30
$-220.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on May 14?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.29
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 14, 2026$9.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.90
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 14?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.59
$-0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.20
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on May 14?
8 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$8.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$6.08
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on May 12?$1.504h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 14?$8.905h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C or higher on May 14?$9.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on May 14?$10.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?$6.105h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 64°F or higher on May 14?$8.205h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 14?$9.305h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C or below on May 14?$8.005h ago
- MERGEWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.505h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on May 14?$6.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on May 14?$8.605h ago
- YIELD$0.0610h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 0°C or below on May 12?$1.5010h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on May 12?$1.8016h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on May 12?$1.8016h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 12?$1.4016h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on May 12?$1.3017h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 12?$1.3018h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 12?$1.1020h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on May 12?$1.4023h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
