Trustworthy-Coleslaw
0x598ae3c057195921b630cfbaefb91112c8d71bdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$929.28
Total PnL
$-12.9K
Realised
$-108.79
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2694 shares @ 35.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$929.28
$-27.71
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21739 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-499.98
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8289 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-799.99
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5009 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-319.82
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
3541 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
2143 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
1739 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
1429 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
1304 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$101.79Jul 25, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$957.00Jul 25, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$954.99Jul 25, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$200.00Jul 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$201.50Jul 25, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$1.8KJul 22, 12:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.8KJul 20, 01:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.26Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.33Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$202.51Jul 14, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$199.63Jul 14, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$766.97Jul 14, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$311.85Jul 14, 19:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.76Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $334.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.