Muddy-Poultry
0x598fbf2be1198083200e34e96e6430286babd956
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$174.09
Total PnL
$0.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
40 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$40.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$20.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$20.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Hallow: Prayer & Meditation be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$13.66
$0.01
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in February?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- NO
Will 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in February?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hallow: Prayer & Meditation be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$13.65Feb 20, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in February?$10.00Feb 20, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in February?$10.00Feb 20, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 120 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?$10.00Feb 20, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?$20.00Feb 20, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 in February?$20.00Feb 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?$30.00Feb 20, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$40.00Feb 20, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$20.04Feb 20, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$20.04Feb 20, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMGTA VI released in 2025?$20.05Feb 20, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$20.08Feb 20, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$20.18Feb 20, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$35.35Feb 20, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$37.90Feb 20, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$37.71Dec 6, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$20.00Dec 6, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$20.00Dec 6, 12:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $41.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".