Grave-Clearance
0x59a7f93aef9c165fd6e35b0a45c3ab50a61b8010
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
65 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- FC AUGSBURG
Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- SHANGHAI SHENHUA FC
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 14?
5 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$24.39Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$23.81Jun 22, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$20.14Jun 21, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$20.11Jun 21, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$15.17Jun 21, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$31.25Jun 20, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$20.41Jun 19, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-16?$14.93Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$10.10Jun 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$5.07Jun 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$20.22Jun 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$5.12Jun 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$10.15Jun 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$10.10Jun 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$10.17Jun 15, 19:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?$0.00Jun 10, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?$68.49Jun 10, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$50.34Jun 10, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-10?$50.40Jun 10, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?$69.44May 16, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $14.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 22:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.