Subtle-Showstopper
0x59df5d3896f33e2441206d406d9b91efac7784b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$90.09
Total PnL
$-15.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$90.09
$0.09
- YES
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14?
970 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 8?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 9?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on November 22?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 6?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$90.01Jun 2, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$90.09Jun 2, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$90.00May 23, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$2.00May 23, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 23, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$92.09May 23, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$92.00May 19, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$92.09May 19, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$92.00May 13, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$92.09May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$92.00May 7, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$92.08May 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$91.99May 5, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$91.08May 5, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 27?$91.00Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 24?$91.09Apr 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 24?$91.00Apr 24, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$91.26Apr 24, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$91.00Apr 18, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on April 16?$91.08Apr 18, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $78.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".