Qualified-Peasant
0x5a0ad5aba2087bec94f7d1128a051395c6dab8ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.62
Total PnL
$-5.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$2.18
$0.00
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 6 above $130?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.28
$0.00
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.03
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 5AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$1.12Jul 10, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.02Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.02Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.02Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$1.07Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.13Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.13Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Messi" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$1.14Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$1.25Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.06Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$1.06Jul 10, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 6 above $130?$1.28Jul 5, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.15Jun 28, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$1.24Jun 28, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?$1.06Jun 28, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.13Jun 13, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Messi" during the USA vs Paraguay FIFA World Cup Match?$1.14Jun 13, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.05May 30, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.02May 9, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.02Apr 30, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.