Parched-Soprano
0x5a2c1889cdc005977700dd29d28692a923c27aad
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$563.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
1855 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-655.54
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
1569 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
1500 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-138.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
1310 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-301.30
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
1285 shares @ 49.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-641.36
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
1000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-279.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$187.35Jun 16, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$114.11Jun 16, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$120.10Jun 16, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$117.93Jun 15, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$224.58Jun 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$582.36Jun 15, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$7.44Jun 15, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$1.6KJun 15, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$29.53Jun 15, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$17.60Jun 10, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$48.20Jun 10, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$34.20Jun 10, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$36.12Jun 9, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$10.24Jun 9, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$206.08Jun 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$3.56Jun 9, 14:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.14Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.48Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$316.63Jun 8, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$134.37Jun 8, 15:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $134.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 03:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.