Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Probability
51¢
1h
-0.3pp
24h
+4.5pp
24h Vol
$3.7K
Liquidity
$43.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 51¢; -0.3pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.2¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1584.6h
Price movement
+4.4pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Biggest hourly move: +23.9pp at 2d ago (to 58¢).
Show all 28 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · +4.4pp → 52¢
- 09:00 · -3.1pp → 46¢
- 03:00 · +4.2pp → 46¢
- 02:00 · +3.7pp → 47¢
- 00:00 · +3.7pp → 46¢
- 23:00 · +3.3pp → 46¢
- 21:00 · +4.2pp → 46¢
- 20:00 · +6.8pp → 45¢
- 18:00 · +9.0pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · +3.3pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · +4.8pp → 48¢
- 1d ago · +5.1pp → 49¢
- 1d ago · +3.4pp → 49¢
- 1d ago · +6.1pp → 54¢
- 1d ago · +7.6pp → 53¢
- 1d ago · +11.3pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +12.8pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +16.1pp → 52¢
- 2d ago · +16.9pp → 53¢
- 2d ago · +13.8pp → 53¢
- 2d ago · +14.5pp → 54¢
- 2d ago · +23.9pp → 58¢
- 2d ago · +15.9pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +7.5pp → 49¢
- 2d ago · +4.9pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +15.8pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 49¢
- 2d ago · +6.7pp → 53¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢+1.0pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+48.0pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $56 by end of June?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+17.0pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+5.5pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 8¢0.0pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Other · Vol $512.24
- 4¢-0.4pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?
Other · Vol $3.4K
- 3¢-0.1pp
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?
Other · Vol $76.78
- 97¢+19.9pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 90¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $494.2K
- 0¢-1.7pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $475.6K
- 100¢+49.5pp
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $473.7K
- 100¢+59.5pp
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $419.5K
- 1¢-0.1pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $369.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, reAmbiguous wordingcmegroup.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Moral-Lab71.3K
- Flowery-Misreading10.5K
- Real-Teaching9.3K
- Creepy-Incident8.0K
- Feisty-Stencil6.1K
- Fortunate-Quest36.6K
- Frozen-Antler22.2K
- Oval-Gasp21.4K
- 0x72a0…c05919.8K
- Irritating-Builder7.4K