High-Level-Phosphate
0x5a33573d982b5dc92cef5ad2da6ca51e43fe7302
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$598.43
Total PnL
$-463.85
Realised
$141.92
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
634 shares @ 31.8¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.93
$-56.09
- YES
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?
125 shares @ 79.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$104.46
$4.46
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
210 shares @ 23.6¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.35
$-0.15
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$45.54
$-4.46
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.88
$0.88
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
150 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.75
$-8.25
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
1674 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.08
$-1.74
- YES
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$18.42
$-1.58
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 10.8¢·now 19.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.10
$8.10
- YES
Will the announcers say "Hand of God" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$18.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$12.00Jul 15, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$50.00Jul 15, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$81.00Jul 15, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$263.10Jul 15, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$10.52Jul 15, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$85.41Jul 15, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$10.79Jul 15, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$21.29Jul 15, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$70.00Jul 15, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$5.44Jul 15, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$2.77Jul 15, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Free Kick" 10+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$14.36Jul 15, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Hand of God" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$21.25Jul 15, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Shot" 15+ times during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$20.33Jul 15, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$20.19Jul 15, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "VAR" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$100.80Jul 15, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.17Jul 15, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$10.00Jul 15, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$10.00Jul 15, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$10.00Jul 15, 04:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 09:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.