Noteworthy-Monitoring
0x5a567b0dea73b940d66557f2c994b74b1797a644
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.9K
Realised
$376.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
14715 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.1K
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
2006 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-539.99
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
1271 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
1241 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-813.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
968 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-222.00
- AUSTRALIA
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
701 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-305.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
613 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?
534 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-320.17
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-1.5)
513 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
494 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$56.51Jul 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOusmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$20.75Jul 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMichael Olise: 1+ goals$20.82Jul 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$104.02Jul 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$205.95Jul 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$765.37Jul 14, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$342.47Jul 12, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$530.25Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$166.67Jul 12, 03:36 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.03Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$102.94Jul 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$102.14Jul 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$151.82Jul 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$77.06Jul 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$253.37Jul 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLautaro Martínez: 1+ goals$20.79Jul 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$26.06Jul 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$51.22Jul 11, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$255.37Jul 11, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$253.09Jul 11, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $142.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.