Torn-Lift
0x5a5d9f16bfafe5c86b60481e4a4a9042b696909a
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$1.06
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$394.80
$26.80
- YES
Will Apyx launch a token by September 30, 2027?
500 shares @ 88.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Oct 1, 2027$367.50
$-72.50
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2500 shares @ 40.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$325.00
$-675.00
- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
5904 shares @ 14.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$324.70
$-524.42
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027?
400 shares @ 55.3¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$240.00
$18.67
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$165.00
$17.00
- YES
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?
500 shares @ 43.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$125.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?
332 shares @ 41.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$116.14
$-19.91
- YES
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?
132 shares @ 49.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$95.38
$30.92
- NO
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.50
$3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$4.67Jul 27, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5$10.00Jul 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$9.99Jul 19, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$0.00Jul 19, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNoble FDV above $50M one day after launch?$32.02Jul 16, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$7.08Jul 15, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$1.40Jul 15, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$7.00Jul 15, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$7.00Jul 15, 04:17 UTC
- REWARD$4.84Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$4.90Jul 14, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$0.62Jul 14, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$17.80Jul 14, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$17.60Jul 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $55M committed to the Credible public sale?$22.76Jul 14, 05:35 UTC
- REWARD$3.65Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$40.91Jul 12, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$79.08Jul 12, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$110.28Jul 12, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$0.16Jul 12, 08:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $24.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 05:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.