Timely-Granola
0x5aa1ad6163ad7357fa6e22efac5188b3df88d9b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$48.7K
Total PnL
$-35.4K
Realised
$-358.06
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56529 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.5K
$147.71
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50049 shares @ 15.8¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.0K
$149.90
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49657 shares @ 9.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.1K
$-353.56
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
49452 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.9K
$-481.91
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
4251 shares @ 72.9¢·now 86.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.7K
$572.53
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
37327 shares @ 11.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.6K
$-830.83
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28302 shares @ 7.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.0K
$785.96
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38462 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.0K
$-19.19
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7000 shares @ 24.5¢·now 23.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-94.29
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28571 shares @ 3.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.5K
$454.31
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.75Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.76Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.71Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.70Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.71Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.72Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$3.73Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.69Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.74Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.76Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.78Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.33Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.69Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.66May 31, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$133.96May 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$500.00May 30, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$200.00May 30, 13:59 UTC
- YIELD$4.70May 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$600.00May 29, 13:56 UTC
- YIELD$4.71May 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $958.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.