Fuzzy-Character
0x5ab5a56dcb2ab2f970d4e51ff3c7aa4f481eff12
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.2K
Realised
$-754.56
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
22222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- SIENA SAINTS
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils
12320 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- HOWARD BISON
Howard Bison vs. Michigan Wolverines
5672 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-99.97
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5556 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- PITTSBURGH PANTHERS
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack
5332 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-79.98
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Clippers
5100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-714.01
- PENN QUAKERS
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini
4703 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-149.92
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
2990 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-710.12
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Bulls
2712 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-732.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$6.29Jul 12, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$6.19Jul 12, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$6.16Jul 12, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$737.19Jul 11, 03:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$742.11Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$441.30Jul 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$441.33Jul 10, 17:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$474.45Jul 9, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-09?$459.50Jul 9, 22:07 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.57Jul 8, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.86Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.66Jul 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$293.46Jul 7, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$1.00Jul 7, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $181.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 02:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.