Spiteful-Insomnia
0x5ab676dbd8bb2dfcb7478ee13618b505babe6eec
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$124.74
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$-9.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $2B?
399 shares @ 88.1¢·now 28.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$113.38
$-238.04
- YES
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
4030 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.07
$-62.26
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July?
2575 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.29
$-26.77
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
84201 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.4K
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48928 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
26667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-799.97
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
8000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-272.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 16?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
4286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.6KJul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$1.15Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$49.99Jul 18, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 England?$104.71Jul 18, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$1.08Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$250.80Jul 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists AND Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$11.99Jul 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ goals AND Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$14.99Jul 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ goals AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals$49.99Jul 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$313.95Jul 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$104.55Jul 17, 18:29 UTC
- YIELD$1.07Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.16Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Spain vs. Argentina: Second half draw? AND Spain leading at halftime?$99.38Jul 16, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$838.80Jul 16, 07:27 UTC
- YIELD$1.51Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$8.14Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 AND England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$308.11Jul 15, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $720.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.