Broken-Jogging
0x5ac4a5828d47cbc1c124957664de11ebbac4387e
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.58
Total PnL
$-701.42
Realised
$4.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Kwa Na Kwa win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.58
$0.57
- YES
Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?
34000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- NO
Japanese Snap Election Called by January 31, 2026?
28000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will Kairat advance to the round of 16?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 15?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 15?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?
18000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will Arsenal advance to the round of 16?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$104.67Jul 19, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$257.35Jul 19, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$15.38Jun 26, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$0.98Jun 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$1.67Jun 22, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$1.24Jun 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$1.40Jun 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$6.50Jun 22, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$0.33Jun 22, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$0.59Jun 22, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$0.33Jun 22, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$0.50Jun 22, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$12.50Jun 22, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$22.70Jun 22, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$3.33Jun 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$3.33Jun 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$0.33Jun 22, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$1.67Jun 22, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$43.87Jun 22, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$164.00Mar 23, 09:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $36.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.