Defiant-Bob
0x5ad63f1d19baa674f090e34ab377f5bee2955e1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$433.96
Realised
$-124.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2982 shares @ 75.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.8K
$523.12
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
705 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$696.32
$0.12
- NO
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
700 shares @ 82.6¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$601.65
$23.35
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
1284 shares @ 35.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$481.50
$23.38
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
415 shares @ 16.7¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$53.92
$-15.32
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
54 shares @ 47.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.19
$0.81
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
200 shares @ 11.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$25.90
$2.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$23.4326m ago
- REDEEMWill JD Vance's remarks not air?$0.0038m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$1.302h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?$20.002h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$15.982h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.432h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$4.972h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by May 31?$0.142h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$33.452h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$146.552h ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$86.313h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$56.003h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$112.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by May 31?$0.844h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.8014h ago
- REDEEMWill Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$307.3615h ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$19.8516h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$25.5018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$21.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$21.0018h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $67.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 26m ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
