Trivial-Attainment
0x5ad6b977b2da90d177893df3266937365761376f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.33
Total PnL
$-49.99
Realised
$1.18
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.33
$0.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,600 on January 15?
5296 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $96,000 on December 23?
3187 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.19
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 9?
2179 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 23?
2124 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.12
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 23?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.30 on April 18?
1072 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 14?
1070 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 17?
1068 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?$8.01Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 7?$8.00Aug 6, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?$7.83Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?$7.80Jul 15, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.12Jul 3, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.10Jul 2, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.41Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.40Jun 26, 13:18 UTC
- REWARD$0.25Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 1?$2.13Jun 2, 02:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.12Jun 2, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 23?$2.15May 23, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 17?$2.14May 18, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 15?$1.1KMay 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 15?$1.1KMay 15, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 14?$1.1KMay 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 14?$1.1KMay 14, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 on May 12?$1.1KMay 13, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 on May 12?$1.1KMay 13, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 11?$1.1KMay 12, 04:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $367.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.