Pale-Bugle
0x5ad94a65568aab32344f4138c885d7b9298e861c
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.63
Realised
$64.15
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 3?
3874 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-33.54
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?
3073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 4?
1889 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
628 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?
412 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
292 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
280 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
31 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Oman strike Iran by March 31?$1.33Mar 15, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan strike Iran by March 31?$3.06Mar 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$13.93Mar 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$7.69Mar 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$18.82Mar 15, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$12.78Mar 15, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$14.57Mar 15, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$14.67Mar 15, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$21.82Mar 15, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$11.08Mar 15, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$55.66Mar 15, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$11.87Mar 15, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$40.00Mar 15, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran coup attempt by June 30?$22.00Mar 15, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada strike Iran by March 31?$23.91Mar 15, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$277.88Mar 14, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$7.36Mar 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$7.35Mar 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$16.03Mar 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?$7.02Mar 13, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $19.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.