Reasonable-Hypothermia
0x5afb9637ae7c899e7f16bc0eb87266cbb5d76673
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.10
Total PnL
$-43.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
18 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$-1.90
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 10?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Efecto" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
64 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
43 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in February?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Efecto" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1.00Feb 9, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.00Feb 9, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$1.00Feb 9, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?$3.00Feb 6, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$7.00Feb 6, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in February?$10.00Jan 31, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 27?$2.00Jan 27, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?$5.00Jan 26, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Jan 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$35.27Jan 26, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Nigeria next?$2.00Jan 26, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 10?$2.00Jan 10, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 10, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$3.00Jan 10, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.00Jan 9, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 16:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 01:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.