Fluid-Lookout
0x5b1d567aad842e6543e29524821d43dfd8aa9e59
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$255.25
Total PnL
$-244.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by July 31?$516.43Jun 25, 17:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.0KJun 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$692.65Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?$20.82Mar 19, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?$7.70Mar 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?$55.00Mar 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?$25.00Mar 19, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$180.00Mar 19, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$68.31Mar 19, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$112.77Mar 19, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$200.00Mar 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$102.82Mar 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$200.00Mar 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$204.89Mar 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$120.61Mar 13, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$120.62Mar 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$127.51Mar 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$127.51Mar 11, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$144.82Mar 11, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $328.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 17:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.