Close-Stepgrandfather
0x5b721da0811d071808f129537b7052b819b8bedd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$20.4K
Total PnL
$5.5K
Realised
$486.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
302132 shares @ 1.9¢·now 3.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.3K
$4.5K
- YES
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
27863 shares @ 12.4¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$7.4K
$3.9K
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
10344 shares @ 5.5¢·now 13.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$794.43
- YES
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
7189 shares @ 12.5¢·now 12.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$898.59
$2.35
- YES
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
1798 shares @ 15.6¢·now 27.4¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$492.56
$212.67
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2991 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.40
$-93.35
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.00
$-123.00
- YES
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
2 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$0.20
$0.00
- NO
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
10240 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-153.61
- YES
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
5833 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-997.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.76Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.74Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.72Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.69Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.26Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.59Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$3.34Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.21Jul 21, 18:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.94Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$133.87Jul 19, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$8.35Jul 19, 07:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$13.61Jul 17, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $135.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.