Submissive-Thanks
0x5b73551b21314315d3175e767b94b509485babca
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-206.35
Realised
$-0.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?
3300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 2?
3017 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
1583 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
635 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.89
- NO
James Comey arrested by April 29?
275 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
66 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 8?
62 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 12?
60 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.15Jun 15, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 12?$3.14May 12, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?$5.96May 12, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 12?$3.12May 12, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?$5.12May 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$2.08May 12, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 11?$7.80May 12, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?$5.22May 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 12?$1.05May 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 12?$5.19May 11, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 11?$3.09May 11, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 11?$3.14May 11, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 11?$5.15May 11, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 11?$5.17May 11, 05:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.