Fond-Difficulty
0x5b810cc421b69d7abd207695a3dfd8d446974307
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.01
Realised
$0.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
460 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
172 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?
62 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16?
62 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $340-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
11 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16?$1.00Apr 11, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $340-$350 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?$1.00Apr 2, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 23-29?$1.00Mar 23, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$1.00Mar 23, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$4.51Mar 23, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.06Mar 16, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Mar 16, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Mar 10, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.23Mar 10, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.00Mar 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 4, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?$5.53Mar 2, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 17, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 11, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 11, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 6, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?$1.00Jan 31, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?$5.00Jan 31, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".