Organic-Gang
0x5b84efe97b26bf3c83f45cb9189d74e3df4fb7d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.33
Total PnL
$19.23
Realised
$50.47
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$5.00
$1.05
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4 shares @ 10.5¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.27
$-0.18
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.06
$-0.02
- YES
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
1227 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-8.04
- YES
Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
506 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
460 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-4.11
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?
39 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.79
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
28 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.48
- NO
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
4 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.74
- YES
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
3 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 3, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.16Feb 26, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.89Feb 26, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.25Feb 26, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.10Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$0.10Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$0.51Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.57Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$2.64Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$3.77Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$4.11Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.28Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.16Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$9.19Feb 25, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.99Feb 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.16Feb 25, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.16Feb 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.18Feb 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.69Feb 25, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.15Feb 25, 05:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.