Diligent-Astrakhan
0x5b8529281fee73f9c3ac5a04fa9d478b15bdead6
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$10.49
Total PnL
$-10.91
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will CZ post 120-139 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or below on July 1?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.06
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- YES
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be greater than $1,216,000 on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- ADRIAN MANNARINO
Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$1.00Jun 30, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be greater than $1,216,000 on June 30?$2.00Jun 30, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be greater than $1,216,000 on June 30?$3.00Jun 30, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$2.99Jun 30, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$4.10Jun 30, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or below on July 1?$4.04Jun 30, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C or below on July 1?$5.10Jun 30, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CZ post 120-139 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$5.15Jun 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 120-139 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$6.30Jun 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$6.12Jun 30, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?$1.00Jun 30, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$7.20Jun 30, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.93Jun 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$9.00Jun 30, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$9.34Jun 30, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet$1.00Jun 30, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$10.40Jun 30, 11:29 UTC
- REWARD$5.98Jun 18, 00:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$0.14May 13, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$1.00May 13, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.