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PoliticsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?

Probability

86¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$2.6K

Liquidity

$7.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 01:00Apr 24, 2026, 23:43
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 24.3h

    HIGH
  • 23:44Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 24h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 23:43Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 86¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 85¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 84¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

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Same eventWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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