Natural-Pat
0x5b86f381cf98cbd1a884f1a7b35add0f73cd0669
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-307.1K
Realised
$146.31
Win rate
68%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UMASS
Buffalo vs. UMass
76000 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-8.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 29-January 4?
57503 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-124.67
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 5?
36466 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-426.84
- NO
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
35512 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.3K
- MERCURY
Aces vs. Mercury
24595 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-15.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January?
21958 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-285.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January?
20780 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-187.02
- MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Missouri State vs. Middle Tennessee
20410 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-9.1K
- NORTHWESTERN
Northwestern vs. USC
20000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- RAIDERS
Raiders vs. Chiefs
20000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
Recent activity
- REDEEMTexans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5$0.28Feb 9, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Texans (-3.5)$0.70Feb 9, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEM1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5$400.00Feb 9, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?$16.45Feb 9, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5$272.00Jan 13, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$10.69Jan 13, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$6.07Jan 13, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$0.32Jan 13, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$436.55Jan 13, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUY1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5$17.36Jan 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?$21.25Jan 13, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5$243.76Jan 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTexans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5$204.79Jan 13, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Texans (-3.5)$38.96Jan 13, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5$258.77Jan 13, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?$8.38Jan 13, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?$0.58Jan 13, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?$0.19Jan 13, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?$0.41Jan 13, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $44.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".