Unacceptable-Tracksuit
0x5b8d1e51f45a46e45403807d53dd96e3159324ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$437.88
Total PnL
$95.68
Realised
$-32.62
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5
643 shares @ 11.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$286.13
$215.40
- YES
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1133 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.31
$-118.97
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 28.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$54.23
$38.83
- YES
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 34.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.21
$0.53
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
18 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.94
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ja Morant be traded this season?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?$13.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Brown University shooter not be arrested in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)$131.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMDundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?$433.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Excursion" during trophy presentation?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill ohnePixel win the PogChamps chess tournament?$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMAlabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels$0.00Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$78.66Jun 16, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$18.00Jun 16, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$215.82Jun 16, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?$172.37Jun 15, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$4.25Jun 15, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $281.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.