Hot-Gauntlet
0x5ba5d2327830dad344e9487d9448ec67674c2e00
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$3.17
Total PnL
$-62.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.17
$0.09
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 6?
5334 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 13?
5120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.12
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 20?
3170 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.51
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 21?
3166 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.17
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 19?
2181 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.72
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on January 21?
2112 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 18?
1090 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on February 16?
1087 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5?
1079 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?$10.33Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 15?$10.30Jul 15, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.12Jul 3, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 3?$5.10Jul 2, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.87Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.86Jun 26, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4?$2.14Jun 4, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 26?$1.1KMay 26, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$1.1KMay 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 25?$1.1KMay 25, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?$1.1KMay 25, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24?$1.1KMay 25, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 24?$1.1KMay 24, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 24?$1.1KMay 24, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 23?$1.1KMay 24, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 23?$1.1KMay 24, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 23?$1.1KMay 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 23?$1.1KMay 23, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on May 22?$1.1KMay 23, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $557.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.