Sane-Curse
0x5bb5e3402b5ce6756234f436885d30566d0f5605
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$18.43
Total PnL
$-200.44
Realised
$-20.20
Win rate
2%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
35 shares @ 20.3¢·now 22.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$7.79
$0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on August 20?
58 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.61
$0.62
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
6 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?
63 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.57
$0.20
- NO
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.49
$-0.01
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 66.7¢·now 66.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.33
$-0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 20?
81 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.85
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 19?
558 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.28
$-9.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 19?
415 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.21
$-8.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 19?
322 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.16
$-5.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.08Aug 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.94Aug 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.36Aug 19, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$6.34Aug 19, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on August 20?$0.56Aug 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 100-101°F on August 20?$1.00Aug 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.26Aug 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.19Aug 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.18Aug 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$1.17Aug 19, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$1.17Aug 19, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$1.17Aug 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.92Aug 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.21Aug 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.11Aug 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.11Aug 19, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.04Aug 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 20?$0.32Aug 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1.20Aug 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1.20Aug 19, 18:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
52 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 21:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.