Offbeat-Reliability
0x5bbe275425cc07a23068c60255b71d409b11cd73
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$44.81
Total PnL
$-19.86
Realised
$-0.84
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$13.15
$3.15
- CINCINNATI REDS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 26, 2026$11.54
$-0.10
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 27, 2026$9.92
$-0.08
- UNDER
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5
17 shares @ 57.7¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$8.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
53 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$0.16
- OVER
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UNDER
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$11.90Aug 19, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays$10.17Aug 19, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies$10.17Aug 19, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5$10.21Aug 19, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5$21.71Aug 19, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 3.5$15.27Aug 19, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5$15.31Aug 19, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLChicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs$6.18Aug 19, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$0.01Aug 19, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs$5.10Aug 19, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers$15.70Aug 19, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies$19.37Aug 19, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox$2.59Aug 19, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians$14.93Aug 18, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers$10.19Aug 18, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians$10.17Aug 18, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies$13.62Aug 18, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ENCE vs Mai Tai (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage$5.02Aug 18, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season$3.70Aug 18, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season$3.84Aug 18, 10:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 22:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.