Feline-Bell
0x5bcc489ff373777454fa281fb393ead9f0478d7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$96.05
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$7.80
Win rate
76%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 60.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.23
$-1.07
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
30 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.15
$-0.75
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 39.2¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.77
$1.17
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.90
$0.30
- NO
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
38485 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-52.38
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 11?
2016 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 2?
1614 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-36.45
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 2?
1300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 11?
1015 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$8.00Jul 13, 19:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba military clash in 2026?$12.20Jul 10, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$38.00Jul 8, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$40.00Jul 8, 02:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$27.90Jul 7, 18:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuban regime falls in 2026?$17.40Jul 6, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$9.65Jul 6, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Japan military clash before 2027?$18.60Jul 6, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$3.75Jul 6, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$28.84Jul 5, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00Jul 5, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
76% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 21:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.