Impractical-Pneumonia
0x5bf32d21d7a93c02a4a9c62c2e36ebd45c1681f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-543.63
Realised
$268.06
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
746 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
534 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-82.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
354 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-89.21
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
287 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-98.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
266 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
255 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-59.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
211 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-64.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
206 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-49.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
177 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-49.59
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 29, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.55Mar 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Mar 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.09Mar 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.29Mar 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$19.13Mar 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00Mar 28, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00Mar 28, 15:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 22, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2AM ET$31.27Mar 17, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $64.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.