Partial-Yoyo
0x5bf4dcc3e31edea0b32f75ebcf7c1b2f87163b90
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-451.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
24241 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 7?
11344 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-11.34
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
9576 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-84.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 7?
6025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-12.05
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 26?
4076 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-40.46
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
3041 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
2906 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 11?
1037 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-16.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 8?
650 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-69.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.90Jun 3, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.12Jun 3, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.88Jun 3, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw?$24.97Jun 3, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw?$0.99Jun 3, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw?$1.08Jun 3, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw?$1.11Jun 3, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigeria win on 2026-06-03?$9.42Jun 3, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigeria win on 2026-06-03?$2.21Jun 3, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLPoland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5$1.27Jun 3, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5$3.30Jun 3, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.00May 6, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.00May 6, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$0.20May 6, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.02May 6, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.19May 6, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.19May 6, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$3.19May 6, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$3.65May 6, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$3.52May 6, 20:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.