Esteemed-Proportion
0x5c2a7816c6f1e72a2662bb2a344c9edf9ce41d9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$33.76
Total PnL
$-51.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?
27 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$27.27
$15.27
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
8 shares @ 74.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?
31 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?
22 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw?
19 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
12 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?
11 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
10 shares @ 71.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
8 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-04?$16.23Jun 4, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?$15.14Jun 4, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Northern Ireland vs. Guinea end in a draw?$6.12Jun 4, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?$12.20Jun 4, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$14.72Jun 4, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on US military by February 28?$5.10Jun 4, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$5.24Jun 4, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by February 28?$7.17Jun 4, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$7.17Jun 4, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$7.31Jun 4, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$7.36Jun 4, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public by February 28?$10.12Jun 4, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$13.49Jun 4, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on US military by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$7.00Feb 28, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?$7.00Feb 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$6.00Feb 28, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by February 28?$7.00Feb 28, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$6.00Feb 28, 20:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $8.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 11:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.