Gray-Golf
0x5c35c165caeecd49804348f255013b5f231f435a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$1.77
Total PnL
$-54.08
Realised
$5.40
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
17 shares @ 11.6¢·now 10.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Belgium leading at halftime?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
207 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
114 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
32 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLivesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova$1.69Jul 24, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLivesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova$1.02Jul 24, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.09Jul 24, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet 1 Winner: Bublik vs Molcan$1.03Jul 23, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.49Jul 19, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$0.12Jul 19, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$1.04Jul 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$1.02Jul 19, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.03Jul 19, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$0.96Jul 19, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.03Jul 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.54Jul 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assists AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals + assists AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists$0.99Jul 19, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$0.99Jul 19, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLautaro Martínez: 1+ goals AND Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals$0.99Jul 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals AND Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals$16.01Jul 18, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.05Jul 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$4.57Jul 18, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.05Jul 18, 22:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 21:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.