Lazy-Judgment
0x5c4ce2053442cc7b19d300ffd39b7f38cd138131
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$17.0K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$88.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
12248 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.1K
$447.75
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
2000 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$17.00
- NO
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1038 shares @ 81.3¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$933.95
$90.15
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
800 shares @ 61.5¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$612.00
$120.28
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
500 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$452.50
$47.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
500 shares @ 79.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$447.50
$52.50
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
300 shares @ 80.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$240.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
100 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$82.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 16.9¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$80.25
$-4.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
600 shares @ 7.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.50
$-28.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$67.27Jun 8, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.2KJun 8, 10:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.5KJun 3, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$134.86Jun 3, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$19.64Jun 3, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$12.77Jun 3, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$206.56Jun 3, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$45.31Jun 3, 09:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $231.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.