Candid-Sermon
0x5c669023be8d949cc489b8e397ad81cd606a31e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$-59.89
Realised
$96.92
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- NO
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?
482 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$416.53
$-7.08
- NO
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
350 shares @ 76.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$306.25
$39.25
- NO
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$190.80
$6.80
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 17.2¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$143.50
$-28.50
- YES
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
404 shares @ 47.5¢·now 35.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$141.40
$-50.50
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$114.99
$15.00
- NO
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
220 shares @ 27.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$109.99
$50.59
- NO
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?
100 shares @ 54.8¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$93.30
$38.50
- NO
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$91.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$89.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$14.04Jun 13, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$12.96Jun 13, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$22.00Jun 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5$2.93Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5$4.50Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5$13.95Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMorocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5$1.11Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5$14.22Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5$4.13Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5$4.13Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5$21.83Jun 13, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5$0.60Jun 13, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5$4.08Jun 13, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlgeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$12.95Jun 13, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlgeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$8.96Jun 13, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. England: O/U 2.5$1.17Jun 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5$24.75Jun 13, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5$2.75Jun 13, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEcuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5$1.00Jun 13, 02:59 UTC
- REWARD$0.85Jun 13, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $15.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.